Stone Cold Blog

We’ve all had it; where you are quite heavily invested into a poker hand / game, and you know deep down that it’s wrong to keep pursuing. You know in your heart of hearts that your pocket Kings are already beaten by that Ace on the river. yes you could call “just to see”, and it will hurt that the monkey you’re playing against has just hit one of his only 2 outs in the deck, and then say “I knew he had it” when he turns it over OR you do have the option to swallow your pride and keep that losing bet for another time when you know you are ahead and make it a winning bet to make cool hard cash!

These bets all add up! and you want them to add in the right direction!

Just take the lessons that you have learnt from the hand, plus the knowledge that you are now a better poker/life player than you were 2 minute ago.

Sounds like a perfect analogy for relationships to me !

Happy Punting and Happy Life-ing – play each hand armed with the best possible knowledge that you can, take advantage of all opportunities and know when to get out with the least possible loss. In the long run you’ll be a winner.

cheers

Duff

As you all know, seven is the most probable roll with 2 dice, occurring 6 out of 36 times whereas 2 and 12 are the least probable rolls, each occurring once every 36 rolls. For this reason, Park Lane is one of the least landed-on squares as the square seven places behind it is “Go to Jail”.

Also when you are in jail, you are likely to get out by rolling a double, one in every six rolls. A get out of jail free card can be sold to any other player.

In consequence, some properties are landed upon more than others and the owners of those properties get more income from rent. The board layout factors include the following:

• Jail: Since players are frequently directed to “Go To Jail,” they will move through the purple, orange and red property groups immediately after leaving Jail. The two properties with the highest probability of being landed upon after leaving jail are the two cheaper orange properties (St James Place and Tennessee Avenue in North America, Bow Street and Marlborough Street outside North America). This makes the orange property set highly lucrative.
• Go to…: One square — Go To Jail — plus a number of Chance and Community Chest cards will cause the player to advance a distance around the board. Thus, the squares immediately following Go To Jail and the take-a-card squares have a reduced probability of being landed upon. The least-landed upon property in this situation is the cheaper dark blue property (Park Place or Park Lane) because it sets in the lee of both Go to Jail and Community Chest (the Chance directly before it wouldn’t effect its odds because it is impossible to roll a one).
• Go to (property): Several properties are blessed with Chance cards which draw players to them. St Charles Place (Pall Mall), Illinois Avenue (Trafalgar Square), Boardwalk (Mayfair), all of the railroads except Short Line (Liverpool Street Station), and both of the utilities benefit from this feature.
• Advance to Go: A player may be directed to the Go square by a Chance or a Community Chest card, thus lowering the probability of being landed-upon of every square in-between. The properties most affected by this are the yellow, green, and dark blue sets. It also marginally raises the probability for each square in the wake of Go, including the purple and orange sets which will be reached two or three rolls after being on Go.
• Go Back Three Spaces: This directive comes from a Chance card. A quick look at the board shows that there are three Chance squares and hence three other squares which are 3 spaces behind. The leading orange property (New York Avenue or Vine Street) gains the most benefit from this card since the Chance square nestled amongst the red properties is itself the most landed-upon Chance square.

In all, during game play, Illinois Avenue (Trafalgar Square), New York Avenue (Vine Street), B&O Railroad (Fenchurch Street Station), and Reading Railroad (King’s Cross Station) are the most frequently landed-upon properties. Mediterranean Avenue (Old Kent Road) and Baltic Avenue (Whitechapel Road) are the least-landed-upon properties.

Tip of the day today is more about learning to deal (calmly!) with the fact that sometimes it just isn’t your day!

Below are two different hands that I played over the weekend – I had done nothing wrong (and neither had the person who won! They had correct odds to call legitimately at all times, as I did to bet or call.)

It is a good idea to keep the “hand history” close at hand when playing so that when there is an important hand (either great or bad play), you can take a look back and see where it all went wrong (or right!)

For those who don’t know my online name is Dimborg – all the action is detailed below:

Hand #460011307 at table: Table TH 206
Started: Sun Nov 12 12:27:38 2006

Roberick is at seat 1 with 61.48
Rockko is at seat 2 with 36.75
kegyetlen is at seat 3 with 22.50
mitchell04 is at seat 4 with 44.50
jeep is 59 is at seat 5 with 7.50
Dimborg is at seat 6 with 17.12
zatykoz is at seat 7 with 24.50
GUYGUY3 is at seat 8 with 4.50
HCharlie is at seat 9 with 13.00
Astartes is at seat 10 with 22.50

Roberick posts the large blind 0.50
Astartes posts the small blind 0.25

Astartes: –, –
Roberick: –, –
Rockko: –, –
kegyetlen: –, –
mitchell04: –, –
jeep is 59: –, –
Dimborg: Ac, Qd
zatykoz: –, –
GUYGUY3: –, –
HCharlie: –, –

Pre-flop:

Rockko: Call 0.50
kegyetlen: Fold
mitchell04: Fold
jeep is 59: Call 0.50
Dimborg: Call 0.50
zatykoz: Check
GUYGUY3: Check
HCharlie: Raise 1.00
Astartes: Fold
Roberick: Fold
Rockko: Call 1.00
jeep is 59: Fold
Dimborg: Call 1.00
zatykoz: Fold
GUYGUY3: Call 1.00

Flop (Board: 9h, 10s, 5d):

Rockko: Check
Dimborg: Check
GUYGUY3: Check
HCharlie: Bet 0.50
Rockko: Call 0.50
Dimborg: Call 0.50
GUYGUY3: Call 0.50

Turn (Board: 9h, 10s, 5d, 7c):

Rockko: Check
Dimborg: Check
GUYGUY3: Check
HCharlie: Check

River (Board: 9h, 10s, 5d, 7c, Qh):

Rockko: Bet 1.00
Dimborg: Raise 2.00
GUYGUY3: Fold
HCharlie: Fold
Rockko: Raise 3.00
Dimborg: Call 3.00

Showdown:

Rockko shows: Jh, Ks (straight to the King)

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Started: Sun Nov 12 12:12:56 2006

Roberick is at seat 1 with 58.73
Rockko is at seat 2 with 32.25
kegyetlen is at seat 3 with 26.25
zy is at seat 4 with 9.08
jeep is 59 is at seat 5 with 9.50
Dimborg is at seat 6 with 22.37
galopp is at seat 7 with 36.50
norbi g. is at seat 8 with 23.25
HCharlie is at seat 9 with 14.25
Astartes is at seat 10 with 17.00

Rockko posts the large blind 0.50
Roberick posts the small blind 0.25

Roberick: –, –
Rockko: –, –
kegyetlen: –, –
zy: –, –
jeep is 59: –, –
Dimborg: Qh, Jh
galopp: –, –
norbi g.: –, –
HCharlie: –, –
Astartes: –, –

Pre-flop:

kegyetlen: Fold
zy: Call 0.50
jeep is 59: Call 0.50
Dimborg: Call 0.50
galopp: Fold
norbi g.: Fold
HCharlie: Fold
Astartes: Raise 1.00
Roberick: Call 1.00
Rockko: Call 1.00
zy: Call 1.00
jeep is 59: Call 1.00
Dimborg: Call 1.00

Flop (Board: Ks, Qc, Jd):

Roberick: Bet 0.50
Rockko: Fold
zy: Call 0.50
jeep is 59: Call 0.50
Dimborg: Raise 1.00
Astartes: Raise 1.50
Roberick: Fold
zy: Fold
jeep is 59: Call 1.50
Dimborg: Call 1.50

Turn (Board: Ks, Qc, Jd, 2s):

jeep is 59: Check
Dimborg: Check
Astartes: Bet 1.00
jeep is 59: Call 1.00
Dimborg: Call 1.00

River (Board: Ks, Qc, Jd, 2s, Ad):

jeep is 59: Check
Dimborg: Check
Astartes: Bet 1.00
jeep is 59: Fold
Dimborg: Call 1.00

Showdown:

Astartes shows: Jc, Ac (two pair, Aces and Jacks)